Quiet weather on South Plains; Irma near Puerto Rico

Quiet weather on South Plains; Irma near Puerto Rico

Posted: Updated:
LUBBOCK, Texas -

COOL START: It dropped to 52 this morning in Lubbock with all of our area getting a nice cool start behind yesterday morning’s cold front. Here are some of the lowest readings from the Texas Tech Mesonet:

Silverton 48
Floydada 49
Muleshoe 49
Sundown 49
Hart 50
Levelland 50
Northfield 50
Seagraves 50
Tulia 50
Welch 50
Anton 51
Happy 51
Morton 51
New Home 51
Ralls 51
Reese Center 51
Tahoka 51
Tatum 51
Wolfforth 51

THIS AFTERNOON: It’s been a quiet day with lots of sun, temperature in the 70s and lower 80s. The big picture shows a major ridge of high pressure over the western United States. That’s where it’s hot and huge wildfires are burning. There’s a big trough over the eastern United States with cool weather. The big trough is what will steer Irma over the next week. More on the tropics further below.

TONIGHT: Clear and cool, probably a few degrees milder than last night.

NEXT FEW DAYS: Tomorrow’s high near 86, wind S/SE 10-15mph. There is a low chance for a few isolated storms late, most likely west of Lubbock. The southerly wind will probably kick up a little more on Friday.

Afternoon highs should run in the mid to upper 80s Friday through the weekend into early next week. There isn’t much changing from day to day with upper-level high pressure building it. Next week does look a little bit warmer, probably some 90s by mid-week. This is good news for the cotton crop, open weather over the next week to 10 days.

7-day forecast

TROPICS: This is rare, to have three hurricanes across the Atlantic/Gulf at the same time.

National Hurricane Center

First, the closest tropical system is Hurricane Katia. It reached that tropical storm status early this morning in the SW Gulf, was upgraded to hurricane with the 4 p.m. advisory. The good news is this is not headed to Texas. The National Hurricane Center shows it’ll move westward into Mexico.

Katia forecast

It’s a much different story for Hurricane Irma, still a category 5 storm. Category 5 is the top of the scale. This was the radar look at mid-afternoon, when it was just northeast of Puerto Rico, moving WNW.

San Juan radar

It’ll continue WNW next few days, moving near Puerto Rico, Hispañola and Cuba. Some of the latest data today then shows a right turn, possibly keeping the eye just east of Florida. But again, that’s only some of the modeling. The updated National Hurricane Center forecast track still has Florida in the risk for a major hurricane late this weekend into early next week. From there it'll threaten the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina early next week. It is not a threat to Texas.

Forecast track Irma
Farther to the east, Hurricane Jose is expected to turn north well before moving to the United States.

Jose forecast track

Have a great rest of your day. Whitney will have the next forecast update early tomorrow morning.
-Matt

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